{"id":6935,"date":"2026-03-04T10:13:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T10:13:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dizainoarkliukas.lt\/?p=6935"},"modified":"2026-03-04T10:13:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T10:13:24","slug":"po-vieso-atsako-polymarket-traukia-branduolini-sprogdinimo-rinka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dizainoarkliukas.lt\/?p=6935","title":{"rendered":"Po vie\u0161o atsako \u201ePolymarket\u201c traukia branduolin\u012f sprogdinimo rink\u0105"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div xmlns:default=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" style=\"position:relative;overflow:visible;font-size:1.2em;line-height:1.58\">\n<div class=\"pt-8 pb-10 border-t border-b border-decryptGridline \">\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Turinys:<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/dizainoarkliukas.lt\/?p=6935\/#Trumpai_tariant\" >Trumpai tariant<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/dizainoarkliukas.lt\/?p=6935\/#Dienos_apzvalga_Naujienlaiskis\" >Dienos ap\u017evalga Naujienlai\u0161kis<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h4 class=\"sc-b2a202e4-4 bNRGqr gg-dark:text-white\" color=\"#333\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Trumpai_tariant\"><\/span>Trumpai tariant<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"font-meta-serif-pro font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">\u201ePolymarket\u201c suarchyvavo branduolini\u0173 detonacij\u0173 rink\u0105, pra\u0117jus kelioms valandoms po to, kai paskelb\u0117 koeficient\u0105 X.<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-meta-serif-pro font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">Analitikas Dustinas Goukeris persp\u0117ja, kad karo la\u017eybos yra \u201egroteski\u0161kos\u201c ir kelia gr\u0117sm\u0119 sektoriaus teis\u0117tumui.<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-meta-serif-pro font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\">CFTC pa\u017eeng\u0117 \u012f priek\u012f oficiali\u0173 taisykli\u0173 k\u016brimo prognozi\u0173 rinkoms, nes u\u017ej\u016brio draudimai atsiranda daugiau nei de\u0161imtyje jurisdikcij\u0173.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u201ePolymarket\u201c susitrauk\u0117 prie\u0161taringai vertinam\u0105 rink\u0105, kuri pra\u0161\u0117 prekybinink\u0173 la\u017eintis, ar \u0161iais metais bus susprogdintas branduolinis ginklas, po to, kai sutartis sulauk\u0117 didelio atgarsio socialin\u0117je \u017einiasklaidoje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Renginys pavadinimu \u201eBranduolinio ginklo susprogdinimas&#8230;? pritrauk\u0117 didel\u0119 prekyb\u0105 prognozavimo platformoje, o svetain\u0117je matomi duomenys anks\u010diau rod\u0117 daugiau nei 838 000 USD, o sutartys buvo susietos su keliais terminais, \u012fskaitant kovo 31 d., bir\u017eelio 30 d. ir iki 2027 m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Prie\u0161 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">archyvavimas<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Polymarket tur\u0117jo <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">paskelbta<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  22% tikimyb\u0117, kad branduolinis ginklas bus susprogdintas iki X met\u0173 pabaigos.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border:0\" src=\"https:\/\/myriad.markets\/embed\/market\/us-iran-ceasefire-before-april\" width=\"100%\" height=\"415px\"><!(CDATA(<span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display:inline-block;width:0px;overflow:hidden;line-height:0\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span>))><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u201eManau, gana ai\u0161ku, kad netur\u0117tume la\u017eintis d\u0117l branduolini\u0173 ginkl\u0173 panaudojimo konflikte\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 \u201ePrediction\u201c rinkos analitikas Dustinas Goukeris. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight:400\">I\u0161\u0161ifruoti<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight:400\">. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u201eKad ir koki\u0105 ma\u017e\u0105 naud\u0105 gautume su\u017einoj\u0119 apie to tikimyb\u0119, atsveria tai, kaip baisu leisti \u017emon\u0117ms sp\u0117lioti tokiais rezultatais\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 jis. &#8222;Taip pat galite si\u0173sti klaidingus signalus, jei rinkoje prekiaujama menkai. Ir akivaizdu, kad \u017emon\u0117s, besipelnantys i\u0161 vie\u0161ai neatskleistos informacijos, yra groteski\u0161ki.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><i><span style=\"font-weight:400\">I\u0161\u0161ifruoti<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  kreip\u0117si \u012f \u201ePolymarket\u201c d\u0117l komentaro.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Tokios prognozavimo rinkos kaip \u201ePolymarket\u201c sulaukia vis daugiau kaltinim\u0173, kad j\u0173 karo ir konflikt\u0173 rinkos tapo priemone prekybai, pasinaudojant vie\u0161ai neatskleista informacija, kaltinimai atkreipia d\u0117mes\u012f <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">JAV \u012fstatym\u0173 leid\u0117jai<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  ir <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">tarptautin\u0117s reguliavimo institucijos<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  pana\u0161iai.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Per kelias valandas, kol JAV ir Izraelis smog\u0117 Iranui, daugiau nei 150 s\u0105skait\u0173 atliko ketur\u017eenklius statymus, tiksliai numatydami Amerikos streik\u0105 kit\u0105 dien\u0105. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight:400\">New York Times<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  Polymarket prekybos duomen\u0173 analiz\u0117.  <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Tuo tarpu prekybininkas, veikiantis vartotojo vardu \u201eMagamyman\u201c <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">nu\u0117jo<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  su daugiau nei 553 000 USD la\u017eyb\u0173 d\u0117l streiko ir ajatolos Ali Khamenei likimo. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u201eBlockchain\u201c analiz\u0117s \u012fmon\u0117 \u201eBubblemaps\u201c. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">nustatyta<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  \u0161e\u0161i \u012ftariami vie\u0161ai neatskleista asmenys, kurie likus kelioms valandoms iki konflikto prad\u017eios \u201ePolymarket\u201c bendrai u\u017edirbo 1,2 mln.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u201ePolymarket\u201c su tokiais kaltinimais susiduria jau ne pirm\u0105 kart\u0105. Sausio m\u0117nes\u012f anoniminis prekiautojas u\u017edirbo daugiau nei 400 000 USD <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u012ftartinai laiku atlikti statymai<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  prie\u0161 Venesuelos prezidento Nicol\u00e1s Maduro su\u0117mim\u0105, o Izraelio vald\u017eia pra\u0117jus\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">apkaltino du \u017emones<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  u\u017e tariam\u0105 \u012fslaptintos karin\u0117s \u017evalgybos duomen\u0173 panaudojim\u0105 la\u017eyboms per 12 dien\u0173 trukus\u012f \u0161alies kar\u0105 su Iranu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Konkurentin\u0117 platforma Kalshi susid\u016br\u0117 su pana\u0161iais gin\u010dais po a <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">rinka<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  D\u0117l Irano lyderio ajatola Ali Khamenei pa\u0161alinimo i\u0161 sandori\u0173 sudar\u0117 daugiau nei 54 mln. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">kviesdamasis<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">  \u201emirties i\u0161skyrimo\u201c s\u0105lyga, pagal kuri\u0105 atsiskaitoma pagal paskutin\u0119 prekyb\u0105 kain\u0105, o ne visi\u0161kai i\u0161mokama po jo mirties patvirtinimo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">Goukeris persp\u0117jo, kad rinkos, susietos su mirtimi ir karu, gali apsunkinti prognozavimo rink\u0173 patikimum\u0105, ir prid\u016br\u0117, kad daugelis \u017emoni\u0173 galiausiai gali suvokti, kad sistema yra \u201epastangas praturtinti vie\u0161ai neatskleist\u0105 informacij\u0105\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u201eProblema ta, kad n\u0117ra \u201ePolymarket International\u201c reguliavimo\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 jis. \u201eNors \u201ePolymarket\u201c turi reguliuojam\u0105 prognozi\u0173 rink\u0105 pagal CFTC, \u0161i agent\u016bra neturi tiesioginio \u017eod\u017eio apie tai, kas vyksta tarptautin\u0117je svetain\u0117je.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u201eIr leidus jai tur\u0117ti CFTC subjekt\u0105 JAV, atrodo, kad tai yra tylus likusio pasaulio vietos patvirtinimas\u201c, \u2013 prid\u016br\u0117 analitikas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">\u0160i\u0105 savait\u0119 CFTC prezidento biud\u017eeto tarnybai pateik\u0117 i\u0161ankstin\u012f prane\u0161im\u0105 apie si\u016blom\u0105 taisykli\u0173 k\u016brim\u0105 \u2013 tai preliminarus veiksmas, leid\u017eiantis konsultuotis su suinteresuotosiomis \u0161alimis prie\u0161 rengiant oficialias taisykles. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-meta-serif-pro scene:font-noto-sans scene:text-base scene:md:text-lg font-normal text-lg md:text-xl md:leading-9 tracking-px text-body gg-dark:text-neutral-100\"><span style=\"font-weight:400\">CFTC pirmininkas Michaelas Seligas, kuris buvo prisaikdintas \u0161iek tiek daugiau nei prie\u0161 du m\u0117nesius, numat\u0117 rinkos reguliavim\u0105. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">ankstyvas prioritetas<\/span><span style=\"font-weight:400\">nustatant vien\u0105 federalin\u012f standart\u0105 visose 50 valstij\u0173 kaip nurodytas tikslas.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"my-4 border-b border-decryptGridline\">\n<div class=\"text-start p-8 md:py-12 md:px-12 max-w-prose relative\"><span class=\"border-t-4 border-l-4 w-4 h-4 md:border-t-(6px) md:border-l-(6px) md:w-6 md:h-6 border-decryptPurple dark:border-decryptNeon gg-dark:border-cc-pink-2 absolute top-4 left-4 md:top-6 md:left-6\"\/><span class=\"border-t-4 border-l-4 w-4 h-4 md:border-t-(6px) md:border-l-(6px) md:w-6 md:h-6 border-decryptPurple dark:border-decryptNeon gg-dark:border-cc-pink-2 absolute rotate-180 bottom-4 right-4 md:bottom-6 md:right-6\"\/><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"font-akzidenz-grotesk font-bold text-xl md:text-3xl md:text-center gg-dark:text-white\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dienos_apzvalga_Naujienlaiskis\"><\/span>Dienos ap\u017evalga<!-- --> Naujienlai\u0161kis<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Prad\u0117kite kiekvien\u0105 dien\u0105 nuo populiariausi\u0173 naujien\u0173 dabar ir originali\u0173 funkcij\u0173, tinklalaid\u0117s, vaizdo \u012fra\u0161\u0173 ir kt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/decrypt.co\/359897\/polymarket-pulls-nuclear-detonation-market-following-public-backlash\"> Nuoroda \u012f informacijos \u0161altin\u012f <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trumpai tariant \u201ePolymarket\u201c suarchyvavo branduolini\u0173 detonacij\u0173 rink\u0105, pra\u0117jus kelioms valandoms po to, kai paskelb\u0117 koeficient\u0105 X. Analitikas Dustinas Goukeris persp\u0117ja,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6936,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[278],"tags":[7612,9596,5890,335,9597,3244,9595],"class_list":["post-6935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-web3","tag-atsako","tag-branduolini","tag-polymarket","tag-rinka","tag-sprogdinimo","tag-traukia","tag-vieso"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.9 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Trumpai tariant \u201ePolymarket\u201c suarchyvavo branduolini\u0173 detonacij\u0173 rink\u0105, pra\u0117jus kelioms valandoms po to, kai paskelb\u0117 koeficient\u0105 X. Analitikas Dustinas Goukeris persp\u0117ja, kad karo la\u017eybos yra \u201egroteski\u0161kos\u201c ir kelia gr\u0117sm\u0119 sektoriaus teis\u0117tumui. 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Analitikas Dustinas Goukeris persp\u0117ja, kad karo la\u017eybos yra \u201egroteski\u0161kos\u201c ir kelia gr\u0117sm\u0119 sektoriaus teis\u0117tumui. 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